This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH Q9s Zoom

    • Zolt4n
      Zolt4n
      Bronze
      Joined: 31.05.2010 Posts: 1,280
      Hi guys,

      Villain is 21/17 after 24 hands. Easy bet/call on the turn?

      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      PokerStars
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ALEKSEY_777 ($53.17)
      UTG+1 OMantas ($2.72)
      CO miss.skill ($54.38)
      BTN chaz_nawti ($136.31)
      SB Huntc02 ($73.34)
      BB Hero ($51.62)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is BB Q: :9s:
      4 folds, Huntc02 raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1

      Flop: T: :6s: J: ($3, 2 players)
      Huntc02 bets $2.14, Hero raises to $6.75, Huntc02 calls $4.61

      Turn: :9c: ($16.50, 2 players)
      Huntc02 checks, Hero bets $10.25, Huntc02 raises to $37.44, Hero ???
  • 5 replies
    • ttjjboy
      ttjjboy
      Bronze
      Joined: 31.05.2009 Posts: 4,205
      how can u fold
    • Rastlin1
      Rastlin1
      Bronze
      Joined: 31.08.2008 Posts: 189
      I think its a good fold actually, whats he raising the turn with that we beat??

      I know its only over 24 hands but He seems like a solid player, lets say he has TT,JJ,66,KQs,KQo


      http://www.pokerstrategy.com
      Board: Td6sJs9c
      Equity Win Tie
      UTG 26.46% 25.00% 1.46% { Qs9s }
      UTG+1 73.54% 72.08% 1.46% { JJ-TT, 66, KQs, KQo }

      You are getting 2.36:1 to call the bet but given this range you only have 11 outs (Kings and spades) and you need 3.5:1 to make it a good call
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Zolt4n,

      I got even a wider range there and still it's practically a break-even spot:

      Board: T:diamond: 6:spade: J:spade:  9:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    33.02%  30.77%   2.25% { Qs9s }
      UTG+1  66.98%  64.73%   2.25% { JJ-TT, 66, KQs, QTs+, JTs, T9s, AsKs, AsQs, 8s7s, KQo, QTo, JTo, T9o }

      so unless you widen up the range of the guy it's going to be not really huge profits. We need ~32% so if we exclude rake then it would be ~34% equity.

      Best Regards.
    • RainbowPonny
      RainbowPonny
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.10.2010 Posts: 563
      Just a question cant we check back the turn? What is he calling with OTF thats folding to the turn barrel? W'ere still drawing
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by RainbowPonny
      Just a question cant we check back the turn? What is he calling with OTF thats folding to the turn barrel? W'ere still drawing
      Yep, most likely I would have done it. :) Thanks for point-out. But 2nd barreling ain't wrong.