[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH Q9s Zoom

    • Zolt4n
      Zolt4n
      Bronze
      Joined: 31.05.2010 Posts: 1,280
      Hi guys,

      Villain is 21/17 after 24 hands. Easy bet/call on the turn?

      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      PokerStars
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ALEKSEY_777 ($53.17)
      UTG+1 OMantas ($2.72)
      CO miss.skill ($54.38)
      BTN chaz_nawti ($136.31)
      SB Huntc02 ($73.34)
      BB Hero ($51.62)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is BB Q: :9s:
      4 folds, Huntc02 raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1

      Flop: T: :6s: J: ($3, 2 players)
      Huntc02 bets $2.14, Hero raises to $6.75, Huntc02 calls $4.61

      Turn: :9c: ($16.50, 2 players)
      Huntc02 checks, Hero bets $10.25, Huntc02 raises to $37.44, Hero ???
  • 5 replies
    • ttjjboy
      ttjjboy
      Bronze
      Joined: 31.05.2009 Posts: 4,204
      how can u fold
    • Rastlin1
      Rastlin1
      Bronze
      Joined: 31.08.2008 Posts: 189
      I think its a good fold actually, whats he raising the turn with that we beat??

      I know its only over 24 hands but He seems like a solid player, lets say he has TT,JJ,66,KQs,KQo


      http://www.pokerstrategy.com
      Board: Td6sJs9c
      Equity Win Tie
      UTG 26.46% 25.00% 1.46% { Qs9s }
      UTG+1 73.54% 72.08% 1.46% { JJ-TT, 66, KQs, KQo }

      You are getting 2.36:1 to call the bet but given this range you only have 11 outs (Kings and spades) and you need 3.5:1 to make it a good call
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Zolt4n,

      I got even a wider range there and still it's practically a break-even spot:

      Board: T:diamond: 6:spade: J:spade:  9:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    33.02%  30.77%   2.25% { Qs9s }
      UTG+1  66.98%  64.73%   2.25% { JJ-TT, 66, KQs, QTs+, JTs, T9s, AsKs, AsQs, 8s7s, KQo, QTo, JTo, T9o }

      so unless you widen up the range of the guy it's going to be not really huge profits. We need ~32% so if we exclude rake then it would be ~34% equity.

      Best Regards.
    • RainbowPonny
      RainbowPonny
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.10.2010 Posts: 562
      Just a question cant we check back the turn? What is he calling with OTF thats folding to the turn barrel? W'ere still drawing
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by RainbowPonny
      Just a question cant we check back the turn? What is he calling with OTF thats folding to the turn barrel? W'ere still drawing
      Yep, most likely I would have done it. :) Thanks for point-out. But 2nd barreling ain't wrong.