[NL20-NL50] NL50: Is he stealing this pot?

    • Zeffke
      Joined: 17.04.2007 Posts: 1,123
      Titan Poker 0.25/0.50, hand converted by the iPoker Converter at Talking-Poker

      saw flop | saw showdown

      Button ($19.00)
      SB ($19.50)
      BB ($95.10)
      UTG UTG ($42.40)
      UTG+1 Hero ($65.33)
      CO ($39.75)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 9 :diamond: 9 :heart:
      UTG calls 0.50, Hero raises to 2.50, 4 folds, UTG calls 2.00.

      Flop (5.75) K :heart: 6 :diamond: 2 :heart:
      UTG checks, Hero bets 4.00, UTG calls 4.00.

      Turn (13.75) 8 :diamond:
      UTG checks, Hero bets 8.50, UTG calls 8.50.

      River (30.75) 5 :diamond:
      UTG moves all-in for 27.40, 1 folds

      Villain is 17/4/2 WTSD=9% but only over 65 hands.... I put him on some suited connector that missed the heartflush but I decided to fold.
  • 4 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      To me it rather seems like slowplayed set^^
      Don´t see very much value on your turn bet.
      Board is two suited, he called you on the flop, so he could have K, you can´t call re-raise. I would just check and call most of the river bets.
      I like your fold on the river. It is very rare that you´re ahead here and he could also hit his backdoor flush. Don´t overthink these situations.
    • Gungunhana
      Joined: 26.02.2007 Posts: 429
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      To me it rather seems like slowplayed set^^
      I agree. A limp/call from UTG with those stats, followed by that betting pattern is a good indication of a small pp that hit, being slowplayed
    • Zeffke
      Joined: 17.04.2007 Posts: 1,123
      I bet the turn because if he is chasing a flush... with something like A :heart: T :heart:
    • sw0ldo
      Joined: 31.07.2007 Posts: 397
      I hate betting the turn here, you realy need to play for pot control even if it means giving him a free card. CB on turn and re-evaluate on river.