[NL20-NL50] AQ v tough river decision!

    • Rogbey
      Joined: 25.01.2012 Posts: 50
      Villain is a fairly solid reg playing 25/21 over 2.3k hands. FlpCB is 68% and his TCB is 48% his River aggression stat is 1.7 and AF is 24%. Wasn't so sure where I stood in the hand OTT but had seen him barrell turn with air before so had to continue once he checked I felt I was ahead and I need to get value from AT, AJ type hands but his c/r surprised me. I can't see him ever turning up with worse here but do I have to call this? Are there any bluffs in his range here? Even T9 got there...

      IPoker Network $20.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1727403
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $20.00
      UTG: $7.43
      MP: $20.00
      CO: $36.80
      Hero (BTN): $22.60
      SB: $25.34

      Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is BTN with A :club: Q :heart:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.80, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.80, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.90) 8 :club: 7 :diamond: A :heart: (2 players)
      MP bets $1.30, Hero calls $1.30

      Turn: ($4.50) 7 :club: (2 players)
      MP bets $3.00, Hero calls $3

      River: ($10.50) 6 :spade: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $5.25, MP raises to $14.90, Hero folds
  • 2 replies
    • Rastlin1
      Joined: 31.08.2008 Posts: 189
      1.st point, you are the button here right? I would rather 3bet

      2nd point, if you arent sure where you stand, and the villain checked to you on the river why didnt you just check behind? I still think that the bet is what I would do but I would be hoping that he raised as it looks like you are trying to steal the pot with a busted draw
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      You may 3-bet pf, although call is also fine. I would prefer 3-bet, since I would 3-bet on the BU very wide range.

      Postflop I would have played the same way. He should c/c with weaker Ax hands and very few people would try to bluffraise you, so I think b/f should be ok.

      best regards,