[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 50 QJ IP calldown with flop TP

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $67.06 (134.1 bb)
      CO: $14.65 (29.3 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $54.30 (108.6 bb)
      SB: $51.38 (102.8 bb)
      BB: $52.35 (104.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with J:heart: Q:diamond:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, SB calls $1, BB folds

      Flop: ($3) 3:spade: 7:club: Q:spade: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.25, SB raises to $7.03, Hero calls $4.78

      Turn: ($17.06) K:diamond: (2 players)
      SB bets $10.58, Hero calls $10.58

      River: ($38.22) K:club: (2 players)
      SB bets $32.52 and is all-in, Hero calls $32.52

      Only knew villain was a reg.

      I think the only value hands villain is representing are 33/77, but I'd also expect the normal reg at this limit to not flat small pockets OOP preflop vs aggro BU players.

      I'd expect to see many bluffs here and my plan was to calldown on non spade turn/river cards.

      What do you think about calling down on A turn/river?
  • 2 replies
    • KillerFishes
      KillerFishes
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.07.2010 Posts: 2,313
      Hey man,

      I don't think this is a good spot for calldown :) I mean ..

      On the flop he can't have a straight draw so if you count draws combos, there are only FD, right?
      what Asxs does he call pre? (depends on your btn open) ... i'd say there isn't more than 5 combos of these... + maybe 2 combos of sc, however, we can't be sure he even calls these..

      on the river we need a little more than 30% I'd say .. (lazy to make calc., :f_biggrin: )

      his value range:
      33(3),77(3), KQ(4), KJss(1),KTss(1)

      barreling - bluffs
      A9s (1), ATs(1),AJs(1),78s(1),76s(1), JTs(1)

      bluffs|value

      6 | 12
      33%
      which with rake should be somehow B/E ... however, I've given him optimistic range ... it's just 100% player dependant ... :) Still I think this isn't the best opportunity to calldown ;) because of the absence of straightdraw OTF and K,K + we don't know opp. tendencies ...

      cya
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      Reg could mean anything to me, a bad player with playing 19/15 stats, a player who is playing 25/15 stats, a player who is playing 50/10 even. :D Just plays reg on those limits. So no info at all. No info about Check/Raise, no info about AF, no info about flat-call preflop, no info about VPIP/PFR. I am just Bet/Folding the flop.

      If you Call the flop then pretty standard.

      Best Regards.