This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL2-NL10] NL10 ATs 3bet pot NFD

    • jozata
      Joined: 30.07.2008 Posts: 646
      Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

      CO: $6.95 (69.5 bb)
      BTN: $14.30 (143 bb)
      Hero (SB): $10.05 (100.5 bb)
      BB: $4.15 (41.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A T
      CO folds, BTN raises to $0.35, Hero raises to $1.40, BB folds, BTN calls $1.05

      Flop: ($2.90) 7 7 J (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.60, BTN raises to $7.70, Hero raises to $8.65 and is all-in, BTN calls $0.95

      Turn: ($20.20) Q (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($20.20) 5 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Villain VPIP/PFR/AF/F3b/WSD/Hands
      Villain hasnt folded to 3bets in 111 hands but I still prefer 3betting ATs from SB. On the flop if I shove over his raise I would need 35% equity which should be good if I rely on the flush. Is it still ok to go broke here? What do you think of c/r flop?
  • 3 replies
    • gxtwo
      Joined: 15.12.2010 Posts: 1,268
      How many times has villain reacted to 3bets?

      I know you say hes folded 0times, but 0 out of how many? 0/x
    • jozata
      Joined: 30.07.2008 Posts: 646
      0/3 111 hands
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello jozata,

      Preflop: If he doesn't fold to 3bets at all then I don't like the 3bet in first place while he even has such a high WTSD. Rather just flat it and play postflop while keeping his weaker hands in the play and might exploit him postflop.

      As played
      Postflop: Check/Raising wouldn't really make sense, rather CB yourself. Cause you can't really represent much with the Check/Raise and I doubt that he is ever folding more hands if we do CB. Neither he doesn't seem to be that aggressive.

      About Bet/Shove is the practical case that we have to consider his range and what kind of range do we put him on. :) Most likely myself I would just Bet/Fold it:

      Board: 7:diamond: 7:club: J:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    63.71%  63.56%   0.16% { TT+, AJs, A7s, KJs, QJs, JTs, 76s, AJo }
      UTG+1  36.29%  36.13%   0.16% { AdTd }

      that's even against very wide range and including all Jx hands. We would need ~37% equity with rake excluded and it would be practically break-even. So not really a huge +EV spot and rather just flipping.

      Best Regards.