[NL20-NL50] Value bet or not?

    • Rogbey
      Joined: 25.01.2012 Posts: 50
      Villain is playing 85/31 over 30 hands not a big sample but enough to know he is a whale. Should I be betting the river here? If so how much and can I call a shove? It seems to me that a J of spades is one of the worst river cards to continue.

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($62.54)
      BB ($20)
      UTG ($16.25)
      Hero ($33.53)
      BTN ($17.72)

      Dealt to Hero K:club: K:spade:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.70, fold, SB calls $0.60, fold

      FLOP ($1.60) 6:spade: 9:club: Q:spade:

      SB bets $0.20, Hero raises to $1.65, SB calls $1.45

      TURN ($4.90) 6:spade: 9:club: Q:spade: 3:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero bets $4, SB calls $4

      RIVER ($12.90) 6:spade: 9:club: Q:spade: 3:diamond: J:spade:

      SB checks, Hero checks

      SB shows 9:heart: 7:spade:
      (Pre 17%, Flop 20.6%, Turn 11.4%)

      Hero shows K:club: K:spade:
      (Pre 83%, Flop 79.4%, Turn 88.6%)

      Hero wins $12.26
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