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[NL2-NL10] NL10:SH:AQ 3barrel bluff + timing tell

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      IPoker Network $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1734578
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $10.00 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 11, AF: 0.0, Hands: 27
      SB: $10.48 - VPIP: 43, PFR: 26, 3B: 7, AF: 6.3, Hands: 53
      Hero (BB): $10.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 8, AF: 4.8, Hands: 70290
      UTG: $10.67 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 13, 3B: 9, AF: 0.9, Hands: 89
      CO: $9.07 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 11, AF: 0.0, Hands: 27

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with A :spade: Q :diamond:
      1 fold, CO raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.10, CO calls $0.80

      Flop: ($2.25) 9 :spade: 2 :club: 2 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.20, CO calls $1.20

      Turn: ($4.65) K :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.32, CO calls $2.32

      River: ($9.29) 6 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.38, CO calls $4.45 all in

      Opponent playing at: 3-6 tables
      Timing tell: almost timed out on the turn when facing my 2nd barrel.

      We hardly know anything about our opponent so I think that up until the river it should be fine.

      River: the only reason I push is because villain almost timed out on the turn. It could mean that he simply had action on other tables or that he was considering a raise but if he really had a strong hand he wouldn't risk timing out with it like that, in my opinion. From that I conclude that given his flop call and turn weakness he is likely to have some sort of a pocket pair that is smaller than a queen. The river card itself is really not good for a bluff but since my push looks so strong and since, in my opinion, the opponent is rather weak, can it be justifiable?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      As long we ain't even a full stack which could indicate to the fact that he is a loose player and I wouldn't really expect him to be capable of folding any PPs there I'd just give up on the river.

      Best Regards.