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[NL20-NL50] FR50 A9 bluff on turn

    • circoflax
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players

      UTG+1: $97.16 (194.3 bb)
      UTG+2: $50.42 (100.8 bb)
      MP1: $51.13 (102.3 bb)
      MP2: $47.02 (94 bb)
      MP3: $11.25 (22.5 bb)
      CO: $55.18 (110.4 bb)
      BTN: $170.28 (340.6 bb)
      Hero (SB): $49.50 (99 bb)
      BB: $50.54 (101.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with 9 A
      7 folds, Hero raises to $1.75, BB calls $1.25

      Flop: ($3.50) 7 T K (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.75, BB calls $2.75

      Turn: ($9) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $5, BB raises to $14.50, Hero raises to $45 and is all-in, BB calls $30.50

      Villain is decent reg, pretty tight and decent aggressive post flop.
      15/10/4.4, call 47% from BB against steal. AF=2.8

      When he raises on the turn I think I can make him fold a small flush blocking the A :club: . Plus I have flush outs if I get called. I have additional outs Q and 8 against 2pair hands and sets. Hard to give him AQ or a set other than 77 maybe, as he raises 10% in the BB against steal and I steal frequently enough.

      What do you think about my line? I would not make this move against a bad player, a player on tilt or if I was perceived as tilting. Now if I analyze it some more, I could think I may still get called a lot by flushes if he thinks I have AQ with just one club or none.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello circoflax,

      Not really good idea to 3bet on the turn. :( Especially not even vs very aggressive opponent. I doubt that he is raising there total air and your equity isn't going to be very good vs strong hands either. He is never folding a small flush there.

      Only reason to take such a line if we would expect him to have a lot of bluffs in his raising line on the turn.

      Best Regards.