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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 A5s

    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -

      MP: $31.14
      CO: $30.60
      BTN: $17.33
      Hero (SB): $25.00
      BB: $24.98
      UTG: $22.85

      Pre Flop: ($0.37) Hero is SB with A :spade: 5 :spade:
      UTG calls $0.25, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, BB calls $1, 1 fold

      Flop: ($2.75) Q :heart: 5 :diamond: A :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.00, BB calls $2

      Turn: ($6.75) 8 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.50, BB raises to $21.73, Hero ???

      BB (3,2k hands)
      VPIP/PFR/BBcallopen/BB3bet 23/19/14/9
      foldtoCbetflop/turn 50/27(3/11)
      AFflop/turn/river 3,5/2,2/1,7
      AFqflop/turn/river 39/26/23
      WtSD/W$SD 26/44
  • 2 replies
    • maheepsangari
      Joined: 08.06.2010 Posts: 2,163
      I think his range should be 55,88 for sets, AQ, A5, A8 for two pairs at max don't think he has anything else in two pairs (A5, A8 is also pushing it a bit). Even if I give him A high flush draws our equity looks like this,

      Board: Q:heart: 5:diamond: A:club:  8:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    31.03%  22.26%   8.78% { As5s }
      MP3    68.97%  60.19%   8.78% { 88, 55, AQs, A8s, A5s, KhAh, JhAh, ThAh, 9hAh, 7hAh, 6hAh, 4hAh, 3hAh, 2hAh, AQo, A8o, A5o }

      We need about 34.32% to call so a fold is good in this spot.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello pcfmcc02,

      Doubt that we can do there much than Bet/Fold the hand. Not that many hands what we beat, just the only hope is that he overplays TP-Ace -> which is towards AK mainly if at all.

      Best Regards.