[NL2-NL10] NL2 Zoooom. Flopped full house, risky river?

    • DaPhunk
      DaPhunk
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      Button ($2.01)
      SB ($2.41)
      BB ($2.64)
      Hero (UTG) ($5.49)
      UTG+1 ($1.28)
      MP1 ($5.94)
      MP2 ($2.43)
      MP3 ($0.82)
      CO ($1.84)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9, 9
      Hero bets $0.08, 4 folds, CO calls $0.08, 2 folds, BB calls $0.06

      Flop: ($0.25) 9, A, A (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.16, 1 fold, BB calls $0.16

      Turn: ($0.57) 2 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.38, BB calls $0.38

      River: ($1.33) K (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.06, BB calls $1.06

      Total pot: $3.45 | Rake: $0.12


      Villain is 10/6 with 0 3bet on 116 hands.


      So, since I put him on Ax and I approximate him as calling AK AQ and maaaybe AJ preflop vs my EP open at widest. Maybe he can peel once or twice with a second pair if he's annoyed at something, but river card brings some questions.



      Does he have AQ and AJ enough over AK for me to valuebet. Does he bet AK himself? Do I have to fold to a check/raise?

      Obviously, if the river card was any card apart from a K (maybe a Q we could have the same question but I think I'm definitely still going broke)

      I don't really like my betsizes as I'm obviously just getting value from Ax which isn't likely to be folding anyway I should just make my bets way bigger on flop and turn and maybe I can even shove river....

      What do you think....
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DaPhunk,

      Usually in those spots I might even over-bet at some point. :) If he has the Ax he is going to pay us and if he doesn't have it he wont pay much either. We could for example even consider shoving the river.

      Most likely I'd Bet it bigger on the turn as well.

      Best Regards.
    • DaPhunk
      DaPhunk
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      so your not concerned the river card hits what I consider one of the most likely he can have here - AK ?



      edit; well, it depends if a 10/6 nit Squeezes BB vs EP1 OR with AK....
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by DaPhunk
      so your not concerned the river card hits what I consider one of the most likely he can have here - AK ?



      edit; well, it depends if a 10/6 nit Squeezes BB vs EP1 OR with AK....
      You can never be sure what they have. :D Might as well have worse AXs hands.