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[NL20-NL50] FR50 A3s FD against unknown

    • circoflax
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players

      MP2: $32.79 (65.6 bb)
      Hero (MP3): $82.06 (164.1 bb)
      CO: $50.92 (101.8 bb)
      BTN: $24.19 (48.4 bb)
      SB: $55.25 (110.5 bb)
      BB: $47.25 (94.5 bb)
      UTG+2: $67.17 (134.3 bb)
      MP1: $74.63 (149.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 3 A
      2 folds, MP2 calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2.25, 4 folds, MP2 calls $1.75

      Flop: ($5.25) 2 7 T (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $3.50, MP2 raises to $8, Hero calls $4.50

      Turn: ($21.25) A (2 players)
      MP2 bets $14, Hero ???

      Villain was unknown at the time, just 6 hands. AF=4. VPIP 40. All the other stats were pretty much blank.

      Is there any way I don't fold this on the turn? Tables were infested with fish at the time... Should I take the Saturday night drunk fish infestation factor into consideration and call, let him fire the rest OTR? He's pretty much representing set-AT.
  • 3 replies
    • KillerFishes
      Joined: 11.07.2010 Posts: 2,313
      Hey man,

      he's not even fullstack just get it in ...

    • circoflax
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      Originally posted by KillerFishes
      he's not even fullstack just get it in ...
      I'm not just getting it in like that against this kind of player. He will never fold any pair on this board if he's raising just with that. So my money goes in at best as a flip. I don't want to flip with donkeys, I want to get their money in better spots. Most optimistic scenario is that he also has a FD ofc. I really don't see him folding after the raise on the flop, so why shove for a flip? He won't fold if I hit my hand and his raise is so small....

      I'm just frustrated after hitting the A on the turn and he still bets big...

      A similar type of stack sat down on another table I was playing, opened standard, I had QQ and 3bet, he called OOP. Flop 929r, I bet 1/2, he raises 3x, I shove, he calls 1/3 of his stack :) with J3o no pair no draw. I guess he put me on 24 and thought he was drawing live. :)
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      I think it is easy shove on the flop.
      You dominate all his draws beside 7dXd, he would not really going to c/r there Tx or 7x, so you´re against either two pair or set or some draws or air that he would fold to shove.

      board: 2d7sTd
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      Ad3d 55.88% 22,682 0
      T7, 22, T2s, 5d6d, 8d9d, 7d8d, Kd*d, 98 44.12% 17,908 0

      If you add any reasonable amount of draws you see that you´re quite big favorite and likely only hands that beat you are 22, T7 and sometimes 77/TT.

      also he would often fold his small pp-s that he may decide making a move.

      Since you hold close to nuts on the turn it is easy shove

      best regards,