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[NL20-NL50] SH50 - 44 on 654

    • chocular77
      chocular77
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      SB:
      $45,75
      MP3:
      $49,75
      Hero:
      $50,25

      0,25/0,5 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.106 by www.pokerstrategy.com.



      Preflop: Hero is BU with 4:heart: , 4:club:
      MP3 raises to $1,50, CO folds, Hero calls $1,50, SB calls $1,25, BB folds.

      Flop: ($5,00) 6:spade: , 5:club: , 4:diamond: (3 players)
      SB checks, MP3 checks, Hero bets $4, SB raises to $12,00, MP3 folds, Hero calls $8,00.

      I'm not too concerned about draws and can still fold if a 2/8 hits so i just called to let him bet his weaker hands.

      Turn: ($29,00) A:club: (2 players)
      SB bets $12, Hero calls $12,00.

      River: ($53,00) Q:spade: (2 players)
      SB raises $20,25 (All-In), Hero calls $20,25.

      Final Pot: $93,50
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello chocular77,

      This might be one of the spots where I might even consider giving up my bottom-set. His Check/Raise so far is also very small where I wouldn't even assume him doing that with any mediocre hands/draws nor his W$SD isn't that low. So I might even go for Bet/Fold on the flop cause it wont change much on the further streets for us anyways.

      If we take into account that we would need here ~45% equity if we go broke on the flop or either way invest all the money:

      Board: 6:spade: 5:club: 4:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    54.54%  53.13%   1.41% { 77-55, 87s, 76s, 65s }
      UTG+1  45.46%  44.05%   1.41% { 4h4c }

      Which even includes those hands as 65s/76s/77 but I wouldn't even be sure if they are in his Check/Raising range. Therefore our equity might be even worse.

      Best Regards.