[NL2-NL10] NL10 ATo 3bet pot IP

    • jozata
      jozata
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.07.2008 Posts: 646
      Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      Hero (BTN): $10 (100 bb)
      SB: $1.90 (19 bb)
      BB: $20.55 (205.5 bb)
      UTG: $19.30 (193 bb)
      MP: $22.17 (221.7 bb)
      CO: $18.59 (185.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A T
      UTG folds, MP raises to $0.35, CO folds, Hero raises to $1.05, 2 folds, MP calls $0.70

      Flop: ($2.25) K 7 A (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($2.25) T (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $1.50, MP calls $1.50

      River: ($5.25) 8 (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $3.20, MP raises to $6.40, Hero???

      Villain VPIP/PFR/AF/F3b/WSD/Hands
      45/20/2,5/0(3)/38/59
      Is it ok to 3bet here? He hanst folded to 3bets thus far but only 59 hands.
      I chb flop to underrep. my hand and to control the pot vs AQ/AJ which I believe are in his range. I bet the turn for value. The river I also bet for value but I have no idea what to think of his c/r range here.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello jozata,

      Kind of dumb spot on the river, especially when even sets/better2pairs/straights are possible. Only hope is that we see there is A8. We need ~20% equity if we exclude rake to make profit:

      Board: K:club: 7:heart: A:spade:  T:heart:  8:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    16.67%  16.67%   0.00% { AhTs }
      UTG+1  83.33%  83.33%   0.00% { TT, 77, AKs, A8s, QJs, J9s, AKo, A8o, QJo }

      although we ain't getting it and maybe sometimes he could have also even KK in his range.

      Best Regards.