[NL2-NL10] NL10:SH:J7s midpair

    • Avatars91
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 3 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $10 (100 bb)
      SB: $10.90 (109 bb)
      BB: $5.62 (56.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with J 7
      Hero raises to $0.30, SB folds, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.65) Q J 6 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.45, BB calls $0.45

      Turn: ($1.55) A (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($1.55) 8 (2 players)
      BB bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40

      Results: $2.35 pot ($0.15 rake)
      Final Board: Q J 6 A 8
      Hero mucked J 7 and lost (-$1.15 net)
      BB showed Q 8 and won $2.20 ($1.05 net)

      Opponent's stats: VP/PFR/AF/WTS/hands 55/0/1.0/27/20

      Does it ever make sense to call the river bet even despite its sizing?

      I think not because: on the flop villain probably calls with the following range (the bottom of his range): Qx, Jx, Ax, 6x, KT, T9, some gutshots, some PPs. On the river all of the hands in his range have at least some equity. Would he really bet with a weaker pair? It is possible, of course, since our opponent is not among the best players at all but I still think it is a thin value bet made by a better pair most of the time.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      For the given odds of course it ain't like a huge mistake but usually not. :D He will come up with a hand which either is trying to make a block-bet with Qx or it's a thin value with Ax. :) And yeah, KT/T9 completed.

      Best Regards.