[NL20-NL50] Overpair flop shove against fish

    • maheepsangari
      maheepsangari
      Gold
      Joined: 08.06.2010 Posts: 2,163
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players


      CO: $36.93 (147.7 bb)
      BTN: $25.64 (102.6 bb) 59/38/2.5/8.9/21/177 Call 3-Bet 50% Raise Flop C-Bet 9%
      SB: $25 (100 bb)
      Hero (BB): $26.02 (104.1 bb) 19/16/18.0/11.8/33/43
      MP: $18.16 (72.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J J
      2 folds, BTN raises to $0.75, SB folds, Hero raises to $2.25, BTN calls $1.50

      Flop: ($4.60) 8 5 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3, BTN raises to $8.50, Hero raises to $23.77 and is all-in, BTN calls $14.89 and is all-in

      Someone could raise here with a flush draw/straight draw or even overpairs like 99-JJ. He is quite aggressive AF 2.5 after being so loose pre-flop however he raises C-Bets on the flop only 9% of the time, calls 63% folds 28%. After this information should I give up this hand and just fold?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello maheepsangari,

      Preflop: With your sizing you are giving him the opportunity to set-mine. Fix your sizing while being OOP to 4x.

      As played
      Postflop: Bet/Fold the flop, not really the greatest flop to continue here while the guy doesn't even to be raising a lot of flops. Not sure if the guy would even raise 99/TT for value here. Neither I wouldn't exclude from his range QQ+. The only hope what we going to see here might be something like 76s even vs overcards+FD we ain't very good.

      Best Regards.