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[NL20-NL50] NL20 AKo vs cold 4bet

    • jozata
      Joined: 30.07.2008 Posts: 646
      Cassava Poker $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em - 4 players - View hand 1749094
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $21.77
      BB: $27.67
      CO: $20.53
      Hero (BTN): $20.00

      Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is BTN with K :spade: A :diamond:
      CO raises to $0.60, Hero raises to $1.80, 1 fold, BB raises to $5, 1 fold, Hero raises to $20, BB calls $15

      Flop: ($40.70) Q :spade: 7 :heart: 3 :heart: (2 players)

      Turn: ($40.70) 5 :diamond: (2 players)

      River: ($40.70) 4 :spade: (2 players)

      BB VPIP/PFR/AF/Hands
      Few hands during which I havent seen villain 4bet. COvsBUvsBB ranges seem to be on the loosest so he could be doing it as a bluff. I for one dont cold 4bet KK/AA in his shoes as it drives away almost every hand but QQ/AK (combowise it is not a great result).
      So I need 45% equity.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 38.82% 18.15% 20.68% { AKo }
      MP3 61.18% 40.50% 20.68% { QQ+, AKs, AKo }

      If villain is capable of doing it with a few random bluffs then :

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 51.64% 38.75% 12.88% { AKo }
      MP3 48.36% 35.48% 12.88% { QQ+, AKs, A5s-A2s, K6s, AKo }

      As I said, he is almost unknown. Your thoughts?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello jozata,

      Vs unknown I'd just leave the pot alone and that's it. :) Don't really like to base on the facts that "I think that he is never 4betting here -> or that I wouldn't do it so". Base on those stats/information what you have on the guy.

      Best Regards.