This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] [sh] NL 25 zoom - flush vs river donk

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -

      Hero (BTN): $37.27 -
      SB: $41.01 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 27, 3B: 14, AF: 1.0, Hands: 11
      BB: $37.98 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 25, 3B: 17, AF: 0.0, Hands: 16
      UTG: $25.25 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 15, 3B: 8, AF: 2.0, Hands: 95
      MP: $19.73 - VPIP: 75, PFR: 50, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 4
      CO: $27.11 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 36

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with T :diamond: Q :diamond:
      UTG raises to $0.62, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.62, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.59) J :diamond: 6 :heart: 5 :diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $1.06, Hero raises to $3.50, UTG calls $2.44

      Turn: ($8.59) K :heart: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $5.50, UTG calls $5.50

      River: ($19.59) 7 :diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $7.40, Hero calls $7.40

      On the river I think his donk is going to be very often a flush, I don't really see him playing like that any other hand. IF my assumption is correct then 3betting is not good as he can have some A :diamond: x :diamond: hands(discount them because I 'd expect him to 3bet them some % of the time) and K :diamond: x :diamond: . Lower flushes would be 8 :diamond: 9 :diamond: ,8 :diamond: 6 :diamond: ,6 :diamond: 4 :diamond: , hands that I don't know how often he opens them UTG.

      IF I would know that he always 3bets fd + overcard --> raise AI
      If he never 3bets fd+overcard --> fold (GEEZ???)
      If I don't know how he plays--> calling is best?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      Nah, I like your thoughts here and I wouldn't assume either that rather a tighter opponent would even open suited connectors from UTG. :) Nice hand! He ain't going to pay you anyways with worse hands if you raise there. Plus we are also a bit deeper.

      Best Regards.