[NL20-NL50] NL25 - Fold set with JJ on flop !?!?!?!

    • LimeAndCoconut
      Joined: 02.12.2007 Posts: 96
      Full Tilt Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
      LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

      CO: $23.30
      BTN: $25.75
      SB: $8.40
      BB: $22.80
      UTG: $12.50
      UTG+1: $9
      UTG+2: $43.20
      MP1: $67.10
      Hero (MP2): $26.15

      Pre-Flop: J:diamond: J:heart: dealt to Hero (MP2)
      2 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.25, MP1 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 2 folds, SB calls $1.15, BB calls $1, UTG+2 folds

      Flop: ($4) Q:club: J:club: T:club: (3 Players)
      SB checks, BB bets $4, Hero folds, SB calls $4

      Turn: ($12) Q:spade: (2 Players)
      SB checks, BB bets $4.25, SB calls $3.15 and is All-In

      River: ($18.30) T:heart: (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

      BB is 36/10/5.8
      SB is 25/0/0

      I figured I'm probly no more than 60% in best case senario and might be beat already. Should I still shove, since I have a good redraw?
  • 2 replies
    • nttflox
      Joined: 25.10.2007 Posts: 673
      Raise flop, go broke. You are more often against a draw than a made hand, so protect and extract value.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Fold is imo too weak. You still have 7 outs to improve on the turn and if he flopped flush or straight he would pay you off.
      I was at that spot one mount ago and I played call flop, check behind on the turn and then called overbet on the river:) And most of the people said that I was playing wrong, since there is a lot of worse hands that would bet that way.
      I think it is always your decision if you want to play big pot with your set on very coordinated board or not, but I would suggest at least call on the flop and then re-evaluate on the turn. They would check a lot or making smaller bets, then you can decide if you want fold/raise or call.