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[NL20-NL50] [SH] 25 44 bottom set on super wet board

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em -
      BB: $31.02 - VPIP: 30, PFR: 13, 3B: 4, AF: 2.7, Hands: 54
      UTG: $26.37 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 13, 3B: 0, AF: 5.0, Hands: 104
      MP: $26.84 - VPIP: 8, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 24
      CO: $66.10 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 0, AF: 3.3, Hands: 75
      Hero (BTN): $25.00
      SB: $58.32 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 20, 3B: 6, AF: 1.0, Hands: 84

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with 4 :heart: 4 :spade:
      UTG raises to $0.75, 1 fold, CO calls $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($2.60) 7 :club: 4 :club: 5 :spade: (3 players)
      UTG checks, CO bets $1.50, Hero raises to $4, UTG folds, CO calls $2.50

      Turn: ($10.60) 9 :club: (2 players)
      CO bets $6.00, Hero ???

      I beat his 2 pairs, pair + draw and overpairs
      I'm beaten by his sets (which I'd expect to 3bet flop pretty often), 68s?, and flushes ( why would he donk a flush on the turn? it doesn't make much sense to me).

      What do you think it's the best play here?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      Flop: While the board is super-drawy I'd raise the flop even bigger ~$6,50.

      As played
      Turn: No, I am not really excluding flushes here, sometimes I do play the same cause set can be Checking behind which we don't want to see, neither we don't want to see another to come nor paired board. Your line was strong on the flop and he assumed you are calling him often enough. Although for the sizing I wouldn't be laying it down either, I'd just Call and play on the river if I do improve. Shipping would anyways make worse to fold and folding vs such a sizing while we get even the implied odds might be too weak.

      Best Regards.