[NL20-NL50] Shoving TP+FD on flop

    • maheepsangari
      maheepsangari
      Gold
      Joined: 08.06.2010 Posts: 2,163
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players


      Hero (BTN): $28.18 (112.7 bb) 15/12/2.8/7.0/25/122
      SB: $27.59 (110.4 bb)
      BB: $5.34 (21.4 bb)
      CO: $25.82 (103.3 bb) 15/11/1.2/4.3/35/339

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with K Q
      CO raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) 6 Q 9 (2 players)
      CO bets $1, Hero raises to $3, CO raises to $9.75, Hero raises to $27.43 and is all-in, CO calls $15.32 and is all-in

      Turn: ($51.99) 3 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($51.99) 7 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      Results: $51.99 pot ($0.75 rake)
      Final Board: 6 Q 9 3 7
      Hero showed K Q and won $0.00 (-$25.82 net)
      CO showed Q A and won $51.24 ($25.42 net)
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello maheepsangari,

      What's the purpose of the raise? Do you assume you are getting a better hand to fold, do you see worse hands continue? Rather let him continue with some bluffs and weaker hands than get it in. At the best you just flipping vs strong range, especially when he is that nitty:

      Board: 6:spade: Q:heart: 9:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    57.57%  57.31%   0.27% { KK+, 99, 66, AQs, Q9s, AQo }
      UTG+1  42.43%  42.16%   0.27% { KsQs }

      So your idea here is just to play for the fold equity. We would need ~50% equity to make some profit. :P Or would you assume him going broke with worse?

      Best Regards.