[NL20-NL50] NL 99 facing 3/4 river bet!

    • Rogbey
      Joined: 25.01.2012 Posts: 50
      Is this a snap call? Villain plays 18/14 over ~1k hands, AF 2.8. I bet to get value from most draws flop and turn then check river because I feel I will only get called by better and fold worse. So I check and he bets, is it +EV to call here? I think it is because all his draws miss, he would of raised most 2 pair and sets so is only betting missed draws right?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($22.45)
      BB ($37.36)
      Hero ($20)
      BTN ($20.60)

      Dealt to Hero 9:spade: 9:diamond:

      Hero raises to $0.60, BTN calls $0.60, fold, fold

      FLOP ($1.50) T:club: K:diamond: 6:club:

      Hero bets $1.12, BTN calls $1.12

      TURN ($3.74) T:club: K:diamond: 6:club: 4:spade:

      Hero bets $2.40, BTN calls $2.40

      RIVER ($8.54) T:club: K:diamond: 6:club: 4:spade: 2:heart:

      [color=red]Hero checks, BTN bets $5.60, Hero????
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Rogbey,

      Depends a lot on other stats as well on the guy, as WTSD/W$SD/AF on river. Of course his bet sizing is just telling us that he doesn't have a strong hand, cause any Kx I am not sure if he even picks such a line and as mentioned 2pairs+ would raise earlier.

      So rather ask how would you see him Betting for thin value?

      Best Regards.