[NL20-NL50] NL20 KK v flop c/r!

    • Rogbey
      Joined: 25.01.2012 Posts: 50
      Villain is 24/20 over 5k hands, foldt3b is 56%, FAF is 3.8. He opens 20% in MP and flop c/r is 13%. So from these stats I think this leaves him with a range of sets,T9s-QJs, AQs+ would this be right? Against this range we have only 24% eq. so this would be a fold correct? Any thoughts on my calculations?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($20)
      BB ($23.92)
      UTG ($20)
      CO ($23.82)
      Hero ($38.54)

      Dealt to Hero K:diamond: K:spade:

      UTG raises to $0.70, fold, Hero raises to $2.40, fold, fold, UTG calls $1.70

      FLOP ($5.10) 8:club: 9:heart: 5:club:

      [color=red]UTG checks, Hero bets $3.40, UTG raises to $10,

      Hero ???
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Rogbey,

      Doubt it has much to do with the overall Check/Raise here in those situations. He is most likely doing it for value or at the best with some combo hand as FD+overs or something similar. But I am not really planning to fold it and therefore just ship it. Has AA then yeah, not much you can do.

      Neither you can't put him on only strong made hands, maybe even overplays JJ/QQ as well. No information on WTSD/W$SD at all.

      Best Regards.