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[NL20-NL50] SH50 - AA commit on turn

    • chocular77
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      Known players:

      0,25/0,5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.106 by

      MP2 openraise = 23%
      Fto3B = 54%
      FtoCB = 60%
      Flop c/r = 0%

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A:spade: , A:club:
      MP2 raises to $1,75, MP3 folds, Hero raises to $5,50, 3 folds, MP2 calls $3,75.

      Flop: ($11,75) J:spade: , 9:club: , 5:club: (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $7, MP2 calls $7,00.

      His c/c on the flop made me suspicious. Could be a fdraw or he maybe even play JJ like this because he never c/r.

      Turn: ($25,75) T:club: (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero checks.

      I got a little bit scared because there are a lot of hands now possible which beats my AA and i don't wanted to commit myself with a bet here.
      Is this wrong and should i just bet ~$16 because he can still call mit with worse hands which will fold to a river bet?

      River: ($25,75) A:diamond: (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $15, MP2 folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $25,75
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello chocular77,

      Do you think you can catch 3streets value from his hand range here? While not that many will be paying you, I doubt that. Therefore I wouldn't even mind the idea of Check behind and reevaluate the further actions.

      But at the same time as long he doesn't fold even to many 3bets I would assume he has maybe even something like AJ/KJs/QJs in his range against which we could Bet for value.

      Best Regards.