[NL2-NL10] 10NL AQs shove on turn

    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3 (Hero):
      $4.00
      CO:
      $6.34
      BU:
      $10.00
      SB:
      $10.97
      BB:
      $22.46
      UTG2:
      $1.54
      MP1:
      $2.00
      MP2:
      $18.39


      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A, Q.
      UTG2 calls $0.10, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, 4 folds, UTG2 calls $0.40, MP2 calls $0.40.

      Flop: ($1.65) 2, 4, 8 (3 players)
      UTG2 checks, MP2 checks, Hero checks.

      Turn: ($1.65) 7 (3 players)
      UTG2 bets $0.52, MP2 folds, Hero raises to $3.50(All-In), UTG2 calls $0.52(All-In).

      River: ($6.19) 4 (2 players)


      Final Pot: $6.19.

      I think I should call turn because he have some pair.
      and any leak?
  • 2 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hello Gonchan,

      We only have 1 card to come and I think our equity is often around 30-35%:

      Board: 8:spade: 4:club: 2:heart:  7:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    32.75%  32.75%   0.00% { AcQc }
      MP3    67.25%  67.25%   0.00% { 98s, 98o }



      Board: 8:spade: 4:club: 2:heart:  7:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    18.16%  18.16%   0.00% { AcQc }
      MP3    81.84%  81.84%   0.00% { 87s, 87o }



      Board: 8:spade: 4:club: 2:heart:  7:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    32.95%  32.95%   0.00% { AcQc }
      MP3    67.05%  67.05%   0.00% { 99 }


      So we need a lot of fold equity here to be good if we played our stacks.

      The same applies more or less for a $1.04 effective stack, it is far better (when behind) to just call giving you 4:1 on your draw

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      I thought villain have to shove because he also omit so it's troublesome.

      Anyway, even his stack is normal and I only have to think about my stack,
      call is profitable, isn't it?