[NL20-NL50] AJo - Rivered trips

    • Hackett77
      Hackett77
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2009 Posts: 372
      Only 60 hands on villian. Seemed pretty weak passive so far.

      Villians change in betsize OTR worries me a little, is this an auto raise here? against a reg I think ill call more often than raise but against this player I think not raising loses too much value vs JT-KJ?

      View hand 1756807
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $23.41 - VPIP: 71, PFR: 12, 3B: 0, AF: 2.3, Hands: 17
      BB: $36.07 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 12, 3B: 5, AF: 2.5, Hands: 2861
      UTG: $103.21 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 13, 3B: 3, AF: 2.3, Hands: 208
      UTG+1: $51.25 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 3.1, Hands: 902
      MP: $65.25 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 13, 3B: 4, AF: 5.5, Hands: 911
      CO: $53.41 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: 1.3, Hands: 69
      Hero (BTN): $68.61 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 2.3, Hands: 36956

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with A :diamond: J :club:
      3 folds, CO raises to $1.75, Hero calls $1.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($4.25) J :heart: 3 :diamond: 9 :spade: (2 players)
      CO bets $2.12, Hero calls $2.12

      Turn: ($8.49) 7 :heart: (2 players)
      CO bets $4.24, Hero calls $4.24

      River: ($16.97) J :spade: (2 players)
      CO bets $12.72, Hero raises to $35, CO raises to $45.30, Hero calls $10.30
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Hackett77,

      Even if you decide to go for the raise then I'd just ship it. He is going to Call anyways, no matter what you pick there and vs the full range of his:

      Board: J:heart: 3:diamond: 9:spade:  7:heart:  J:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    46.00%  40.00%   6.00% { 99, 77, 33, KJs, QJs, J9s+, AJo, KJo, QJo, JTo }
      UTG+1  54.00%  48.00%   6.00% { AdJc }

      we have 54/46 spot so shouldn't be even that huge mistake. We would need ~44% equity. :) Vs reg I do agree I might be towards just flatting.

      Best Regards.
    • Hackett77
      Hackett77
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2009 Posts: 372
      Ok thanks veriz. Just wasnt sure if this was an auto raise for some people. im not sure that it is though.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Hackett77
      Ok thanks veriz. Just wasnt sure if this was an auto raise for some people. im not sure that it is though.
      Oh well, the problem is that we can't really exclude from his range KJ/QJ hands. :( So yep, rather raise for value.