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[NL2-NL10] 10NL 44 semibluff

    • Gonchan
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,877
      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $9.30 (93 bb)
      BB: $4.25 (42.5 bb)
      BTN: $9.72 (97.2 bb)
      MP1: $10 (100 bb)
      MP2: $10 (100 bb)
      Hero (MP3): $4.02 (40.2 bb)
      CO: $11.93 (119.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 4 4
      MP1 calls $0.10, MP2 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, CO folds, BTN calls $0.40, 2 folds, MP1 calls $0.30

      Flop: ($1.35) 8 8 A (3 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $0.64, 2 folds

      Results: $1.35 pot ($0.06 rake)
      Final Board: 8 8 A
      BTN mucked and won $1.29 ($0.89 net)
      MP1 mucked and lost (-$0.40 net)
      Hero mucked 4 4 and lost (-$0.40 net)

      UTG's stats is 21/12 so I thought it's PP and I might take pot on Ax or Kx or some board so I raise with 44.
      It's bad BTN's call and flop is a bit wet so I couldn't cb.
      Is it possible to CB on this flop?
  • 2 replies
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678

      Are the other players tight or also moderately loose? If they are moderately loose (19VPIP++) then raising this is a big liability

      Otherwise I like it if the rest of your table are tight (but then again why are we playing on this table in the first place?)

      as played, why don't you cbet? it is an Ace high board and among the best boards you cBet profitably as a bluff.

      - Gerv
    • Gonchan
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,877
      I thought 3 way pot and two clover can't bluff(or 44 would be semibluff)
      mechanically but I'll change my mind.

      If anyone can, would you explain why CB is profitable on this board with math