[NL20-NL50] [Sh] Nl25 Aa

    • dannywratten
      dannywratten
      Gold
      Joined: 11.05.2010 Posts: 1,462
      $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      BTN: $26.78 (107.1 bb)
      Hero (SB): $25.88 (103.5 bb)
      BB: $43.79 (175.2 bb)
      UTG: $19.85 (79.4 bb)
      MP: $84.54 (338.2 bb)
      CO: $42.92 (171.7 bb)

      Villain 31/13/0.0/2.0/13/78hands

      obv bet shoving flop is best yeh?
      OTT though im not sure what ind of range to give him.
      Seems unlikely he would flat the flop with sets or AJ, so should i still be bet/calling? i cant even really see flopped flushes in hisrange unless he calls the 3bet with like 9s8s.
      If its best to b/f, what should my sizing be?


      Preflop: Hero is SB with A:spade: A:diamond:
      UTG folds, MP raises to $0.75, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, BB folds, MP calls $1.75

      Flop: ($5.25) K:spade: Q:spade: T:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.20, MP calls $3.20

      Turn: ($11.65) 9:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $7.10, MP raises to $21, Hero??

      Results: $25.85 pot ($1.16 rake)
      Final Board: K:spade: Q:spade: T:spade: 9:heart:
      Hero mucked A:spade: A:diamond: and lost (-$12.80 net)
      MP mucked and won $24.69 ($11.89 net)
  • 4 replies
    • jachis
      jachis
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.04.2008 Posts: 745
      Easy bet/fold for me, his AF up till this point is 0, wtsd 13, youre never ahead here. I would expect to have 0 fold equity on the turn and against such range


      Board: K:spade: Q:spade: T:spade:  9:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    30.93%  30.74%   0.19% { AdAs }
      MP3    69.07%  68.88%   0.19% { AJs, KJs+, 9s8s, KJo+ }


      I think he mostlikely has some Jx hand here.
    • dannywratten
      dannywratten
      Gold
      Joined: 11.05.2010 Posts: 1,462
      Yeh true, i actually think i may have got his AF & 3b mixed up.
      Either way, i think the decision would still be the same.
      If you were to b/f, what would your turn sizing be?
    • spadek
      spadek
      Bronze
      Joined: 20.04.2010 Posts: 84
      Why not c/c on the turn?
      He didn't raise the flop so he's not likely to have a monster and he is going to fold every worse hand on the turn if we bet and raise with a straight and we get pushed out of the pot where we still have a lot of outs against his range.

      If we check he is propably going to bet Jx and that's about it. Even if he would float with some top pair hands I think he would not continue on the river unless we are beat. I would go for potcontrol here and if I had AA without spade I would propably b/f the flop and c/f the turn.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      after putting in half your stack and having overpair with royal draw I can´t see any way how to get away on the turn. Your equity is likely around 35-40% that should be enough to b/c turn. Also he may always try some kind of bluff.

      If you want to go pot control then c/c turn is fine, I would likely c/rai myself if I should check myself, since I don´t want to c/c him twice and I would rather take my equity even if I´m behind.

      board: KsQsTs9h
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AsAd 39.91% 834 18
      KQ, KJ, T9, AQ, QJ 60.09% 1,260 18