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[NL20-NL50] NL 25 sh AT river spot

    • dooleslovs
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 485
      PartyGaming - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: $64.68
      SB: $55.30
      Hero (BB): $26.14
      UTG: $25.00
      MP: $7.80
      CO: $23.67

      SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has T:diamond: A:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.50, 2 players) 3:diamond: J:club: A:spade:
      SB bets $1.00, Hero calls $1.00

      Turn: ($3.50, 2 players) T:heart:
      SB bets $2.75, Hero calls $2.75

      River: ($9.00, 2 players) 5:club:
      SB bets $7.00, Hero??

      OPP 22/20/6/24

      ATT to steal SB 40% cbet Flop 70% cbet T 2/1

      So if I counted corectlly I loose to 28 combos KQ-16 33-3 JJ-3 AJ-6, and win against 34 AK-8, AQ-8, JT-6, A3-6, A5-6, so it should be easy call couse I need only to be good 30%. But I guess he would not bet so big with JT AQ and AK, I am not sure about A3 and A5 either, so I am a bit conused. What do you think? Is my combos calculation coreckt?
  • 3 replies