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[NL20-NL50] 68s CO 50NL SH

    • bradomurder
      bradomurder
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.10.2008 Posts: 1,331
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($28.89)
      BB ($50)
      Hero ($59.64)
      BTN ($53.77)

      Dealt to Hero 6:club: 8:club:

      Hero raises to $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, fold, BB calls $1

      FLOP ($4.75) 7:spade: 5:heart: 5:spade:

      BB checks, Hero bets $3.75, BTN calls $3.75, BB folds

      TURN ($12.25) 7:spade: 5:heart: 5:spade: 9:heart:

      Hero bets $8, BTN calls $8

      RIVER ($28.25) 7:spade: 5:heart: 5:spade: 9:heart: T:heart:

      Hero?

      BU's a reg, tight but seems good
      550 hands
      18/14/5.4
      31% fold to cbet
      AF aggression is 1.8
      wtsd 30%, W$SD 60% (small sample)

      quite a loose open but everyone after me was quite passive so I went for it.

      what's the plan on the river? I think ch/c is probably best because now 99 and TT both beat me, QQ+ probably 3bets pre, so the only thing I beat is a busted FD or maybe JJ if he doesn't 3bet it preflop.

      also do you think ch/r on the turn is ok given his low fold to cbet? or is it too strong on a paired board?
  • 2 replies
    • KillerFishes
      KillerFishes
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.07.2010 Posts: 2,313
      bet bigger OTT... river is ch/f or ch/c (like it more since you get info)
      depends on sizing, vilian, dynamics...


      his calling range on BTN is quite wide, I'm betting always ... there is plenty worse .. ;)
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello bradomurder,

      As long the aggression of the opponent is pretty low then Check/Calling on the river is out of question. What we rather should be asking if we get value from worse there? I would assume such a guy wouldn't hero-call there that many hands. Fold JJ and QQ+ he might even 3bet for value.

      Which makes me towards Check/Fold the river while I don't see getting value from a lot worse hands, especially with his W$SD for 550 hands which is still some sample. Don't see him calling with 88 nor JJ.

      Best Regards.