[NL2-NL10] NL10 66 missed in 3b pot, flop checks through, stab turn?

    • member001
      Joined: 18.03.2010 Posts: 288
      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players

      Hero (CO): $15.74 (157.4 bb)
      BTN: $10 (100 bb)
      SB: $10.58 (105.8 bb)
      BB: $3.63 (36.3 bb)
      UTG+1: $9.45 (94.5 bb)
      UTG+2: $22.75 (227.5 bb)
      MP1: $3.85 (38.5 bb)
      MP2: $4.10 (41 bb)
      MP3: $4 (40 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 6 6
      5 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, BTN raises to $1, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.60

      Flop: ($2.15) 3 J 9 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      Turn: ($2.15) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.40 ??
      ..., BTN folds

      Results: $2.15 pot ($0.10 rake)
      Final Board: 3 J 9 9
      Hero mucked 6 6 and won $2.05 ($1.05 net)
      BTN mucked and lost (-$1 net)

      Strange villain: aggressive preflop 31/24/7.8%3b, tight passive postflop 35%cbet flop, 0%(!) cbet turn&river, low WTSD 16% (150 hands).
      Preflop - I hate folding to such small 3b, but not sure about my call. His remaining stack is 15x what I need to call plus there's some dead money, so maybe ok. On the other hand it will be hard to get value OOP if I hit my set, especially against such passive opponent.
      Flop - c/f
      Turn - decide to stab repping some kind of missed flop c/r that is now donking for value & protection. In hindsight I'm not representing much other than JJ maybe QQ (not much flush or 9x in my range here in 3b pot) so it's maybe a bad move against a better opponent, but I think he'll fold often enough given his postflop stats.
      Of course, I could be bluffing with the best hand, but I would rather take down the pot now than risk seeing overcards.
  • 3 replies
    • Imimba1
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      I'd fold it preflop.
    • Gantz189
      Joined: 29.07.2011 Posts: 39
      I'd probably fold pre, same reason you gave, hard to get value from sets unless he hits something big aswell. Also it's pretty much fit or fold with low PP OOP.

      as played I like the turn stab against this type of opponent
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello member001,

      Preflop: Especially while also being OOP it will be tough to play vs him while he most likely wont even be playing postflop. Therefore rather fold the hand.

      As played
      Postflop: As long he doesn't have interest in the pot on the flop I'd also take a stab. He would be CBetting almost every made hand on the flop.

      Best Regards.