[NL2-NL10] KJo-steal in SB

    • Tilen1
      Tilen1
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.10.2008 Posts: 46
      hello

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      UTG1:
      $53.55
      UTG2:
      $49.25
      MP1:
      $188.81
      MP2:
      $32.40
      MP3:
      $64.53
      CO:
      $75.25
      BU:
      $70.00
      SB (Hero):
      $15.00
      BB:
      $67.34


      Preflop: Hero is SB with K, J.
      7 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1.00.

      Flop: ($3) Q, 9, K (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.00, BB raises to $6.75, Hero...?


      BB is 14/10/60; vpip/pfr/hands

      do you think it is profitable to go all in here?
      looking at the raise size i think i'm behind most of the time.
  • 2 replies
    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      ja.pokerstrategy.com
      ボード: Qd9dKh
      エクイティ 勝ち 引分
      SB 27.24% 24.16% 3.07% { KdJh }
      BB 72.76% 69.69% 3.07% { 99, ATs, KQs, K9s, JTs, KQo, K9o, JTo }


      Your equity may a bit more if BB reraise with FD.
      However, you don't have 18:11.5 equity so I'll fold.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hello

      @ Gonchan; you have to change ATs to AhTh as you now count A:cT as well:


      Board: K:heart: 9:heart: Q:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    76.22%  74.21%   2.01% { 99, KQs, K9s, JTs, AhTh, QhTh, KQo }
      MP3    23.78%  21.77%   2.01% { KdJh }




      That said, we are way behind versus a reg raising here so bet/folding is the best play

      Best regards,
      Gerv