[NL2-NL10] AQs hit on FD board against blue fish

    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $16.02 (160.2 bb)
      MP2: $9.24 (92.4 bb)
      MP3: $12.56 (125.6 bb)
      BB: $10.37 (103.7 bb)
      SB: $15.72 (157.2 bb)
      UTG+2: $10.50 (105 bb)
      Hero (UTG+1): $4.16 (41.6 bb)
      MP1: $10.04 (100.4 bb)
      CO: $7.33 (73.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Q A
      Hero raises to $0.30, UTG+2 folds, MP1 raises to $0.50, 6 folds, Hero calls $0.20

      Flop: ($1.15) 9 3 A (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP1 bets $1.10, Hero raises to $3.66 and is all-in, MP1 calls $2.56

      Turn: ($8.47) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($8.47) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Results: $8.47 pot ($0.42 rake)
      Final Board: 9 3 A 2 9


      stats 66/18 af 1.0.
      I thought he will CB on this flop so check/raised.
      Even FD, is it profitable?
      or bet/call flop and check/shove turn is more better?
  • 4 replies
    • Tilen1
      Tilen1
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.10.2008 Posts: 46
      hello

      It's very unlikely that he holds a draw on this board, so check/call would be better.
      By calling you keep hands like KK,QQ,JJ,TT in, which will likely fold on your raise.

      On that blank turn card, you can check/call again, he will bet his AT,AJ and maybe some of his big PPs again.
      If he checks behind, i would bet something small on the river and get value from his worse Ax hands, and maybe some big PPs.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hello

      I don't like your call preflop at all versus this 66/18 player. Why don't you 4bet for value?

      What are you going to do when the Flop is:
      1* 2 3 9 ?
      2* J T 2
      3* 8 7 6

      Assuming you check & he cbets but if you want to deviate from that, that is fine but then explain to me why you want to deviate :)

      - Gerv
    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      1 check/fold because AF shows he wouldn't trash his PP or some draws
      2 check/shove cuz monster draw and he may fold his top pair.
      3 check/fold cuz AF shows I'm almost always behind.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Originally posted by Gonchan
      1 check/fold because AF shows he wouldn't trash his PP or some draws
      Well AF=1 which means he is equally betting&raising than calling. It does not say much actually as it is a dependent variable


      2 check/shove cuz monster draw and he may fold his top pair.
      First I do not think he is going to fold Toppair in a raised or reraised pot. That would be absurd folding his JT+

      2nd I do not think you have a monster draw. You only have a gutshot and reduced outs if he has a pair+broadway card

      So I would check/fold here


      3 check/fold cuz AF shows I'm almost always behind.
      Well if you are folding in this spot then you should not call preflop more or less due ranges

      I still 4bet preflop here given his preflop statistics

      - Gerv