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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH, KQ, missplayed the R or more?

    • Anger86
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players

      Hero (BB): $10.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 19, 3B: 7, AF: 4.5, Hands: 6927
      UTG: $12.54 - VPIP: 64, PFR: 8, 3B: 10, AF: 1.7, Hands: 88
      MP: $10.00 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 19, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 42
      CO: $10.51 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 2.5, Hands: 92
      BTN: $10.32 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 15, 3B: 6, AF: 3.0, Hands: 92
      SB: $15.88 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 13, 3B: 1, AF: 3.7, Hands: 179

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with J :heart: K :diamond:
      UTG calls $0.10, 4 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, UTG calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.05) 9 :heart: A :heart: Q :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.70, UTG calls $0.70

      Turn: ($2.45) J :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG checks

      River: ($2.45) J :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.85, UTG raises to $7.10, Hero calls $5.25

      When I played the hand Villain was unknown. Notice that.

      Decided to cbet F, because, when I check back, most Villains are going to float the Flop.
      With cbet I can sometimes see 2 cards, if Villain doeb't bet T when I check.
      Like in this exact hand.

      How do you play R?
      I think, that checking is losing value, because he will often check hack his Qx, Qx.
      Bet/fold or bet/call.
      I guess, his Aq and AJ , QJ, could bet T, so there are more hands which crush me on the R?
      Although people tend to slowplay wrong spots.

      My EQ for calling:
      5.5(4.55+5.5) = 54%

      If he doesn't raise T w/ 2pair+, then EQ on the R:

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 42.65% 38.24% 4.41% KdJh
      MP3 57.35% 52.94% 4.41% AQs-AJs, KJs-KTs, QJs, JTs, Jh9h, AQo-AJo, KJo-KTo, QJo, JTo

      If he raises T w/ 2pair+, then EQ on the R:

      Equity Win Tie
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 28.95% 21.05% 7.89% KdJh
      MP3 71.05% 63.16% 7.89% KJs-KTs, JTs, Jh9h, KJo-KTo, JTo
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Anger86,

      I wouldn't be CBetting in first place most likely there cause we just have a GS and that's it and most likely very small fold equity.

      As played on the river is rather a Bet/Fold while I doubt that he will come up with a lot worse hands. Some of the Jx make even a FH, so only JT?

      Best Regards.