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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 50 AA vs flop raise

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -
      MP: $64.96 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 17, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 6
      CO: $132.94 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 17, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 6
      BTN: $18.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 0.0, Hands: 50
      SB: $50.00 - VPIP: 8, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 12
      BB: $54.35 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 0.7, Hands: 87
      Hero (UTG): $52.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 7, AF: 4.8, Hands: 166592

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with A :spade: A :club:
      Hero raises to $1.75, 1 fold, CO calls $1.75, 3 folds

      Flop: ($4.25) Q :diamond: 2 :heart: K :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.00, CO raises to $9.03, Hero raises to $17.25, CO folds

      I'd expect villain to have a good percent of the time some kind of draw. As I did not want to see many turn cards I chose to play for stacks on the flop. Any reason to play the hand some other way? Like call flop donk non :diamond: turns?
  • 2 replies
    • DailyDollarPro
      Joined: 11.07.2011 Posts: 145
      You should only be losing to KQ and 22. A lot of people will call flop and look to raise turn with a monster, so I agree with your thinking that this raise is mostly either a draw, air or Kx. In which case I think it is better to call the raise with the plan of x/r safe turn cards. On the flop you are dead flipping vs J:diamond: T:diamond: , however on a safe turn card (which hits 71% of the time), we improve to 70% equity.

      The fact that he folded to your 3bet suggests that you probably missed value by raising yet would have paid off his nuts.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      No way you can Call the flop without even having A, therefore just get it in if you assume him having a wider raising range there. Nice hand!

      Best Regards.