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[NL20-NL50] NL50 river betsize with top set

    • flekozub
      Joined: 19.02.2012 Posts: 102
      $0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Holdem
      5 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      UTG 28/27 cb flop 78, turn 36
      SB fish
      BB reg

      UTG ($60.51)
      CO ($124.97)
      HERO (BTN) ($50)
      SB ($101.56)
      BB ($49.23)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 5 players) HERO is BTN 8:spade: 8:heart:
      UTG raises to $1.43, 1 fold, HERO calls $1.43, SB calls $1.18, BB calls $0.93

      Flop: 8:diamond: 3:club: 5:heart: ($5.72, 4 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, UTG bets $4.29, HERO calls $4.29, SB folds, BB folds

      Turn: 6:spade: ($14.30, 2 players)
      UTG bets $10.72, HERO calls $10.72

      River: K:diamond: ($35.74, 2 players)
      UTG checks, HERO ($33.56)?

      Can betting 12$ here instead shoving be more +EV as we expect that all value hands he should shove himself so he looks like 99-QQ which will very likely fold to shove but can make crying call?
  • 2 replies