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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH, AA, KJxs flop raise

    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players

      CO: $17.00 - VPIP: 68, PFR: 19, 3B: 7, AF: 4.0, Hands: 47
      BTN: $10.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 10, 3B: 4, AF: 1.8, Hands: 284
      SB: $12.16 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 19, 3B: 9, AF: 1.4, Hands: 155
      BB: $12.25 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 2.0, Hands: 358
      Hero (UTG): $10.59 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 7, AF: 4.2, Hands: 18810
      MP: $4.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 11, 3B: 4, AF: 6.0, Hands: 121

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with A :club: A :heart:
      Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.40, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.95) J :heart: 2 :heart: K :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.65, BTN raises to $2.86, Hero raises to $10.19, BTN calls $6.74 all in


      What do you think is his going broke range?
      I generally assume that KK+ 3bet mostly, but hands like AK, AQ, KQs, QQ-22 might call.

      So his going broke range might be:

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 50.07% 49.70% 0.37% JJ, 22, AKs, AhQh, AKo
      MP3 49.93% 49.56% 0.37% AA

      Well, not sure about his TPTK hands as those might call,
      which would be better for his range anyway.

      Looks like, if I had AK in this spot I'd have to fold to F 3bet (or close to that):
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 69.75% 48.30% 21.45% JJ, 22, AKs, AhQh, AKo
      MP3 30.25% 8.79% 21.45% AKs, AKo

      I'll note his 3bet sizing in my note as this might be a betsizing tell too.
      Quite big. ;)
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Anger86,

      As long he seems to be pretty passive and we also have the A I'd Bet/Fold it. :) Oh and you are 3betting and not him, he is just raising.

      Best Regards.
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 56.413% 56.27% 00.14% 18385 45.00 { AcAh }
      Hand 1: 43.587% 43.45% 00.14% 14195 45.00 { JJ, 22, AKs, KJs+, AKo, KJo+ }

      I'd go broke here. Or is that raising range too wide Veriz?
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Imimba1
      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 56.413% 56.27% 00.14% 18385 45.00 { AcAh }
      Hand 1: 43.587% 43.45% 00.14% 14195 45.00 { JJ, 22, AKs, KJs+, AKo, KJo+ }

      I'd go broke here. Or is that raising range too wide Veriz?
      He is a passive player so I would assume he isn't even raising Kx hands rather playing way ahead/behind.