This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] NL20 AJs facing BB squeeze

    • Rogbey
      Joined: 25.01.2012 Posts: 50
      I have quite a few hands on villain and his squeeze percentage is 7.7% so I feel he has a lot of hands in his range he will fold. I presume he will call with TT+, AK+ which is about 45% of his range here and he will fold 55% and against his calling range I have around 32% equity. So I presume this is a +ev shove correct?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($20.10)
      BB ($21.30)
      UTG ($37.67)
      UTG+1 ($22.30)
      CO ($16.20)
      Hero ($20.62)

      Dealt to Hero J:spade: A:spade:

      UTG raises to $0.70, fold, CO calls $0.70, Hero calls $0.70, SB raises to $3.70, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $20.62 (AI), SB calls $16.40 (AI)

      FLOP ($41.80) 6:club: 9:diamond: 8:spade:

      TURN ($41.80) 6:club: 9:diamond: 8:spade: 8:club:

      RIVER ($41.80) 6:club: 9:diamond: 8:spade: 8:club: Q:club:

      Hero shows J:spade: A:spade:
      (Pre 30%, Flop 21.8%, Turn 13.6%)

      SB shows A:club: K:heart:
      (Pre 70%, Flop 78.2%, Turn 86.4%)

      SB wins $39.71
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      if you don´t 3-bet yourself then I think folding is better option. He does not really squeeze too many hands against UTG range and since your hand looks a lot like middle pp I think he would call there AQ+, 99+, so you likely does not have that much fold equity.

      best regards,