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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 99 vs nit

    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -

      Hero (MP): $25.25
      CO: $28.89
      BTN: $27.06
      SB: $23.20
      BB: $26.10
      UTG: $44.81

      Pre Flop: ($0.37) Hero is MP with 9 :diamond: 9 :spade:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.75, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.87) Q :diamond: 4 :heart: 6 :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.25, BTN calls $1.25

      Turn: ($4.37) 6 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.00, BTN folds


      His flop calling range could contain mostly PPs and Qx.
      Is it worth turning our hand into bluff here vs this villain, and try to make him fold some Qx/TT/JJ, or would be better to check/call vs his floats, and check/fold if he bets river as well?
  • 3 replies
    • darko163
      Joined: 13.09.2008 Posts: 4,665
      I don't think I'd second barrel here. I mean, true, he'll fold TT/JJ, but he has a lot more Qx hands in his range. He'll call preflop and flop with QJ, KQ and AQ.

      And I think this guy won't flop a lot. I mean, his fold to flop c-bet is 67%, imo that's too high to be a frequent floater.
    • Farmarchist
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Agree with ch/f turn. The turn doesn't change anything, only air that floated will fold (or maybe raise) and he prolly hasn't got that much air since 13/10 is pretty nitty.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello pcfmcc02,

      The problem on the turn is that your overall equity isn't going to be very good and you can't even Bet for value there anymore. Not sure how many hands yo make to fold either. As long he is passive he might even Check behind some of the worse hands as 77/88. But mostly any other hand will continue.

      Best Regards.