[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 50 bottom set OOP on flooded board

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $20 (40 bb)
      BTN: $58.64 (117.3 bb)
      SB: $30.69 (61.4 bb)
      Hero (BB): $50 (100 bb)
      UTG: $130.55 (261.1 bb)
      MP: $79.63 (159.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 6:club: 6:spade:
      UTG folds, MP raises to $1.25, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.75

      Flop: ($2.75) 8:heart: 6:diamond: 7:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.25, MP raises to $6.50, Hero raises to $13, MP raises to $78.38 and is all-in, Hero calls $35.75 and is all-in

      Turn: ($100.25) J:diamond: (2 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($100.25) Q:club: (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      I thought that villain is not going to cbet this board without a good/decent equity hand and I think that when villain is not very likely to continue aggression donking becomes an option.

      When he raises I think I can expect him to have a range like:



      Board: 8:heart: 6:diamond: 7:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    68.71%  66.87%   1.84% { 66 }
      MP3    31.29%  29.45%   1.84% { JJ+, 88-77, T9s, 86s+, 76s, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KsQd }


      I dont think calling is good vs this range so I 3bet because of the many possible draws.
      Don't like the size 15-16, would've been better to have pot size left on the turn.
  • 5 replies
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      stats??? I think you never get it in good actually :(

      His valuerange where he goes broke with: 77,88,9T,45s,AdKd,AdQs,AdJs,QdKd

      Sucks pretty hard here when he is nitty. I rly don't know what to do... Prolly I'd go broke too
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      No way to play it any other way. Although I'd 3bet it a bit bigger. There are too many bad cards which we don't want to see, therefore I'd also donk/broke here over Check/Raise the flop. Nice hand!

      Best Regards.
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Originally posted by Farmarchist
      stats??? I think you never get it in good actually :(

      His valuerange where he goes broke with: 77,88,9T,45s,AdKd,AdQs,AdJs,QdKd

      Sucks pretty hard here when he is nitty. I rly don't know what to do... Prolly I'd go broke too
      Did not have any atm of the hand.

      I'd expect to him to play a fair amount of his draws this way. Why don't you as well :) ?
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Originally posted by DeMarcohsp
      Originally posted by Farmarchist
      stats??? I think you never get it in good actually :(

      His valuerange where he goes broke with: 77,88,9T,45s,AdKd,AdQs,AdJs,QdKd

      Sucks pretty hard here when he is nitty. I rly don't know what to do... Prolly I'd go broke too
      Did not have any atm of the hand.

      I'd expect to him to play a fair amount of his draws this way. Why don't you as well :) ?
      If you expect that than it's fine. I don't rly expect to him to go broke with draws after we 4bet. I think than he's more likely to call
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      One more reason why the flop 3bet should be bigger.