This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 50 bottom set OOP on flooded board

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $20 (40 bb)
      BTN: $58.64 (117.3 bb)
      SB: $30.69 (61.4 bb)
      Hero (BB): $50 (100 bb)
      UTG: $130.55 (261.1 bb)
      MP: $79.63 (159.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 6:club: 6:spade:
      UTG folds, MP raises to $1.25, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.75

      Flop: ($2.75) 8:heart: 6:diamond: 7:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.25, MP raises to $6.50, Hero raises to $13, MP raises to $78.38 and is all-in, Hero calls $35.75 and is all-in

      Turn: ($100.25) J:diamond: (2 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($100.25) Q:club: (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      I thought that villain is not going to cbet this board without a good/decent equity hand and I think that when villain is not very likely to continue aggression donking becomes an option.

      When he raises I think I can expect him to have a range like:



      Board: 8:heart: 6:diamond: 7:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    68.71%  66.87%   1.84% { 66 }
      MP3    31.29%  29.45%   1.84% { JJ+, 88-77, T9s, 86s+, 76s, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KsQd }


      I dont think calling is good vs this range so I 3bet because of the many possible draws.
      Don't like the size 15-16, would've been better to have pot size left on the turn.
  • 5 replies
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      stats??? I think you never get it in good actually :(

      His valuerange where he goes broke with: 77,88,9T,45s,AdKd,AdQs,AdJs,QdKd

      Sucks pretty hard here when he is nitty. I rly don't know what to do... Prolly I'd go broke too
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      No way to play it any other way. Although I'd 3bet it a bit bigger. There are too many bad cards which we don't want to see, therefore I'd also donk/broke here over Check/Raise the flop. Nice hand!

      Best Regards.
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Originally posted by Farmarchist
      stats??? I think you never get it in good actually :(

      His valuerange where he goes broke with: 77,88,9T,45s,AdKd,AdQs,AdJs,QdKd

      Sucks pretty hard here when he is nitty. I rly don't know what to do... Prolly I'd go broke too
      Did not have any atm of the hand.

      I'd expect to him to play a fair amount of his draws this way. Why don't you as well :) ?
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Originally posted by DeMarcohsp
      Originally posted by Farmarchist
      stats??? I think you never get it in good actually :(

      His valuerange where he goes broke with: 77,88,9T,45s,AdKd,AdQs,AdJs,QdKd

      Sucks pretty hard here when he is nitty. I rly don't know what to do... Prolly I'd go broke too
      Did not have any atm of the hand.

      I'd expect to him to play a fair amount of his draws this way. Why don't you as well :) ?
      If you expect that than it's fine. I don't rly expect to him to go broke with draws after we 4bet. I think than he's more likely to call
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      One more reason why the flop 3bet should be bigger.