[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 25 TPTK vs insta big flop raise

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $16.42 (65.7 bb)
      MP: $25 (100 bb)
      CO: $25 (100 bb)
      BTN: $28.31 (113.2 bb)
      Hero (SB): $27.25 (109 bb)
      BB: $23.84 (95.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A:spade: Q:diamond:
      3 folds, BTN raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.50, BB calls $2.25, BTN folds

      Flop: ($5.75) T:heart: 7:heart: Q:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.53, BB raises to $16, Hero raises to $24.75 and is all-in, BB calls $5.34 and is all-in

      Villain instantly made that raise on the flop. For me it looks more like he is having a draw, a hand with enough value to play but not strong enough to ever consider trapping.

      Would you play the same?
  • 3 replies
    • Farmarchist
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      The only hand that beats you is TT. His sizing looks like a draw which wants FE so I also go broke.

      What he showed up with? Cause that instaraise looks pretty strong to me
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      Being a bit deeper I'd 3bet also bigger.

      Totally disagree that only TT beats us. :) BB isn't really the best player according his stack, so I'd also include 77/QQ+. But I wouldn't exclude weaker Qx hands. So practically the only hope is that he is calling with super loose range here, as QJ+. But how many of them would he raise?

      Board: T:heart: 7:heart: Q:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    63.19%  54.61%   8.58% { QQ+, TT, 77, AQs, KQs, AhKh, AhJh, KhJh, AQo, KQo }
      UTG+1  36.81%  28.23%   8.58% { AsQd }

      I'd Bet the flop smaller ~$3 and Bet/Fold it even without any information on the guy.

      Best Regards.
    • Farmarchist
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Allright. Ty veriz :) . Learned a lot here