[NL20-NL50] Playing middle pair

    • maheepsangari
      Joined: 08.06.2010 Posts: 2,161
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $49.05 (98.1 bb) 41/23/6.0/0.0/50/23
      UTG: $55 (110 bb) 24/20/2.8/7.5/19/94 Flop C-Bet 86%(7) PFR EP 30%(10)
      Hero (MP): $53.60 (107.2 bb) 22/16/4.0/9.5/50/52
      CO: $52.89 (105.8 bb)
      BTN: $71.99 (144 bb)
      SB: $32.39 (64.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with A Q
      UTG raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, 3 folds, BB calls $1

      I call here because his range is loose from EP. There aren't any loose players behind me and there's the fish that I have position on. My ace could be stronger than UTG's and if I hit the flop and I could get another bet out of him rather than 3-Betting now and making him fold.

      Flop: ($4.75) Q 3 K (3 players)
      BB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks

      With a high flop C-Bet% when he doesn't bet I'm sure I have him beat now. The only problem is if the fish in BB has a K since he would check/call with a Kx hand. Had the fish not been there I would have popped a bet after UTG checked but now I plan to check behind and see what the BB does on the turn. If he checks I'll bet else I'll decide looking at his bet size and turn card.

      Turn: ($4.75) J (3 players)
      BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $3, BB calls $3, UTG folds

      Both check again so I decide to pop one now. I could get value from some Ax or Tx hands that might be on a draw or even Jx hands who might think they are ahead especially from the fish. I also have a draw myself and I think its obvious nobody has a K.

      River: ($10.75) 7 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      As expected UTG is out and BB calls and checks again. The river doesn't change anything. Now should I make a thin value bet or check behind here?
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