[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 25 KQ o OOP donk flop TP

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1773469
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      Hero (BB): $31.68 -
      UTG: $25.00 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: 2.5, Hands: 43
      MP: $15.85 - VPIP: 43, PFR: 24, 3B: 17, AF: 3.0, Hands: 21
      CO: $26.51 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 3.0, Hands: 83
      BTN: $25.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 16, 3B: 6, AF: 0.8, Hands: 344
      SB: $28.27 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 1.4, Hands: 56

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with Q :spade: K :diamond:
      3 folds, BTN raises to $0.70, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.45

      Flop: ($1.50) 9 :diamond: 4 :club: Q :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.20, BTN calls $1.20

      Turn: ($3.90) 7 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.00, BTN calls $3

      River: ($9.90) A :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $8.10, Hero calls $8.10

      Flop I decide to donk in order to extract my value vs my opponent's 40% cbet. I would take this line with any equity vs guys like this that don't cbet often.

      River I think that despite his very AF even a calling station is going to be tempted to bluff when he has nothing on the river and his opponent shows weakness. His size made it even easier for me as I'd expect usually to see a more smaller bet that begs to be called when he has a strong hand.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      As long the sizing on the river makes his hand so polarized it's going to be difficult to fold. Would assume such a guy is capable of having a enough of draws in his range which might even bluff on such a card.

      The only problem what I see being here is his AF overall and it's even for 300+ hands. Which might make me sometimes folding over Calling without any information. But now again how many hands does he even have in his range which beat us on the river? Just maybe A:d4/A9 cause I would assume him raising earlier with sets/2pairs. Therefore I guess I'd also ignore the AF and Call it off.

      Best Regards.