[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 50 folding combo draw flop

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1773495
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $58.60 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 12, 3B: 17, AF: 4.0, Hands: 25
      SB: $65.23 - VPIP: 30, PFR: 22, 3B: 7, AF: 0.7, Hands: 104
      BB: $50.75 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 23, 3B: 12, AF: 4.0, Hands: 52
      UTG: $20.98 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 7, 3B: 2, AF: 1.5, Hands: 118
      Hero (MP): $51.25 -
      CO: $53.60 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 25, 3B: 20, AF: 0.3, Hands: 12

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is MP with J :spade: K :spade:
      UTG raises to $1, Hero calls $1, CO raises to $2, 2 folds, BB calls $1.50, UTG calls $1, Hero calls $1

      Flop: ($8.25) 7 :club: T :spade: 8 :spade: (4 players)
      BB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks, CO bets $4.00, BB raises to $11, UTG folds, Hero folds, CO calls $7

      Turn: ($30.25) 6 :diamond: (2 players)
      BB checks, CO checks

      River: ($30.25) 7 :spade: (2 players)
      BB bets $1.00, CO calls $1

      Did not think that betting is going to make many hands fold on a flop like this 4 way.

      After BB x/r I don't like the situation, I see it like this:


      Board: 7:club: T:spade: 8:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    34.35%  33.59%   0.76% { KsJs }
      MP3    65.65%  64.88%   0.76% { TT, 88-77, J9s, T8s, 87s, AsKs, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s }


      I rarely expect CO to be strong but don't think calling is good vs BB;s strong range and possible being dominated.
  • 7 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      Nope, we can't really Call here and I'd also leave the pot alone. Well played!

      Best Regards.
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Can you please say why leading out on this flop is worse than playing ch/c? I think the PFA (CO) isn't going to cbet this board unless he has a hand... But I don't know that is a reason to bet either lol
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Farmarchist
      Can you please say why leading out on this flop is worse than playing ch/c? I think the PFA (CO) isn't going to cbet this board unless he has a hand... But I don't know that is a reason to bet either lol
      CO is to act who had the PFA who could raise and then we can't continue but meanwhile if he bets we can still continue.
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Originally posted by Farmarchist
      Can you please say why leading out on this flop is worse than playing ch/c? I think the PFA (CO) isn't going to cbet this board unless he has a hand... But I don't know that is a reason to bet either lol
      I think that donking vs 3 players on such a coordinated board will have very little FE. We will find very frequently at least one strong hand and then if it raises we are in a shitty spot.
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Do we plan ch/r vs the CO if the other players call or fold? :)
      I think it will look veryyy strong and I think overpairs can't continue to it
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Nope, My plan was to x/c as I think anyone stabbing at this pot is going to have some value hand against which stacking off doesn't really make sense ( + the possibility of being dominated)
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Farmarchist
      Do we plan ch/r vs the CO if the other players call or fold? :)
      I think it will look veryyy strong and I think overpairs can't continue to it
      As long the guy looks fishy I'd pick a more passive approach and less variance.