[NL2-NL10] NL10 FR ATs

    • JohnDoe1313
      JohnDoe1313
      Platinum
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,077
      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP2: $10.15 (101.5 bb)
      MP1: $14.70 (147 bb) - VPIP: 31, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 1.2, Hands: 134
      Hero (BTN): $3.79 (37.9 bb)
      BB: $4.86 (48.6 bb)
      CO: $4.69 (46.9 bb)
      SB: $9.33 (93.3 bb)
      MP3: $14.80 (148 bb) - VPIP: 18, PFR: 7, 3B: 1, AF: 3.8, Hands: 495
      UTG+2: $13.22 (132.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with T A
      UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls $0.10, MP2 folds, MP3 calls $0.10, CO folds, Hero raises to $0.60, 2 folds, MP1 calls $0.50, MP3 folds

      Flop: ($1.45) K T 3 (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $0.90, MP1 calls $0.90

      Turn: ($3.25) 7 (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero checks

      River: ($3.25) K (2 players)
      MP1 bets $3.09, Hero calls $2.29 and is all-in

      Results:
      $7.83 pot ($0.39 rake)
      Final Board: K T 3 7 K
      MP1 showed Q T and won $0.00 (-$3.79 net)
      Hero showed T A and won $7.44 ($3.65 net)


      Hey. I need 30% equity on river. Another K decreases probability of MP1's having it and maybe some Tx, 99,88 could bet for value after I show weakness by check, so calling here could be an option? Thanks
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey,

      QJ is busted as well as 98. You beat any Tx except KT so his range should look like KJ, KT,33 which are 15 combo's so you need approx 6 combo's of bluff in his range to make this a profitable move (15=70%, x=100% => crossproducts)

      I think we have a call here, we are not happy but other stats like WTSD, specific AFq/AF analysis per street can alter the decision between call or fold. Also spectacting whether he was out of line in the previous hands can help you out

      - Gerv