[NL2-NL10] NL2 K10s

    • PhilipDunphy
      Joined: 16.04.2012 Posts: 28
      Party, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $2.30 (115 bb)
      MP2: $1.98 (99 bb)
      MP1: $2 (100 bb)
      Hero (SB): $2.30 (115 bb)
      BB: $1.87 (93.5 bb)
      CO: $7.27 (363.5 bb)
      MP3: $1.02 (51 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with T K
      MP1 folds, MP2 calls $0.02, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.10, BB folds, MP2 calls $0.08

      Flop: ($0.22) 9 8 Q (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.15, MP2 raises to $1.88 and is all-in, Hero calls $1.73

      Turn: ($3.98) 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($3.98) T (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $3.98 pot ($0.19 rake)
      Final Board: 9 8 Q 4 T
      MP2 mucked A Q and lost (-$1.98 net)
      Hero showed T K and won $3.79 ($1.81 net)

      I coudn't really fold here with GS, FD and overcard, could I?
  • 3 replies
    • TedG82
      Joined: 30.12.2010 Posts: 2,024
      Hi, I play these spots in same way as you. On a flop we have 12 outs (I do not count rather with overcard as we can stand against two pairs or set) so we have approx. 1:1 chance to hit our draws on turn or river. WP imo.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello PhilipDunphy,

      Nah, don't really like the Call here. Cause you could be against very strong range here. We need ~45% equity and even if we put him on some realistic range as:

      Board: 9:diamond: 8:diamond: Q:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    43.50%  43.42%   0.09% { KdTd }
      UTG+1  56.50%  56.41%   0.09% { 99-88, AQs, Q9s-Q8s, JTs, AQo, Q9o-Q8o, JTo }

      we still don't get it. So at the best we just see a break-even spot here unless we assuming he is shipping with total crap and worse draws.

      Best Regards.
    • TedG82
      Joined: 30.12.2010 Posts: 2,024
      Hi, I agree that against realistic range as you suggest we are slightly underdog but I think average villain on NL2 is rather fish and he will not go all-in there with a straight or set.

      From my point of view his all-in looks quite weak and it is rather semi-bluff with a straightdraw or flushdraw or even gutshot(AT f.e.), or value bet with something like Qx or 98.