[NL2-NL10] Nl10 Fr Qq

    • JohnDoe1313
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,195
      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP1: $6.47 (64.7 bb)
      BTN: $3.80 (38 bb)
      SB: $12.68 (126.8 bb)
      Hero (CO): $4.40 (44 bb)
      MP2: $16.96 (169.6 bb)
      MP3: $9.13 (91.3 bb)
      BB: $10 (100 bb)
      UTG+2: $5.93 (59.3 bb) - VPIP: 45, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 4.0, Hands: 20

      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q Q
      UTG+2 calls $0.10, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, 3 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.15) J T J (2 players)
      UTG+2 bets $0.30, Hero raises to $1.40, UTG+2 raises to $5.30, Hero calls $2.50 and is all-in

      Turn: ($8.95) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($8.95) 6 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $8.95 pot ($0.44 rake)
      Final Board: J T J 9 6
      Hero mucked Q Q and lost (-$4.40 net)
      UTG+2 showed K K and won $8.51 ($4.11 net)

      I need 29% of equity to call 3bet, but looking at his range he will probably show me Jx more often that Tx, flushdraw, so maybe fold is better? ATs could play like that from time to time. I'm in doubt about QTs, KTs. Thanks

      Board: J:diamond: T:diamond: J:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      SB     68.23%  67.75%   0.48% { TT, ATs, KJs-KTs, QTs+, JTs, KJo, QJo, JTo }
      BB     31.77%  31.28%   0.48% { QdQh }
  • 2 replies
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678

      I don't like your range estimation as it is too general. You think he bet/shoves KT on this board?

      You also didn't considered some sort of combo draw in the form of 8:d9 & A:dK in the rare occassion

      I think you are flipping or way behind here with the way behind feature being always present as he will always bet/shove Jx here

      I think I will raise/fold here unless I know he is bet/shove 1 overcard + flushdraw a lot

      Best regards,
    • JohnDoe1313
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,195
      Actually I took it backwards. That's not my range estimation, that's the range against which I can call. Then I philosophized whether he could play those hands like that. I don't think he shoves KT, QT either so as you said raise/fold is the best line unless I collect more info about his tendencies. Thanks G :f_thumbsup: