[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 50 AQ s OOP flop "trap" fails

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1778642
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $31.79 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 3, 3B: 0, AF: 0.8, Hands: 111
      BTN: $20.87 - VPIP: 77, PFR: 54, 3B: 0, AF: 8.0, Hands: 13
      SB: $31.65 - VPIP: 83, PFR: 42, 3B: 14, AF: 0.0, Hands: 12
      Hero (BB): $65.39 -
      UTG: $98.33 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 25, 3B: 12, AF: 5.4, Hands: 440
      MP: $50.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 19, 3B: 8, AF: 1.8, Hands: 178

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BB with Q :diamond: A :diamond:
      3 folds, BTN raises to $1.50, SB calls $1.25, Hero raises to $6.50, BTN calls $5, 1 fold

      Flop: ($14.50) 9 :spade: 9 :club: 6 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      Turn: ($14.50) K :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50

      River: ($17.50) 4 :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $12.87, Hero folds

      Guy was as crazy as he looks to be.

      Flop was planning to x/c his shove in order to give him the opportunity to spazz out.

      After he checks back I'm kind of lost as I would usually expect him to bet his air on the flop.

      How would you play it after flop plan fails ?
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      Guess if I assume the guy calling with very wide range then I'd just CB the flop for value and play for the stacks vs his stack:

      Board: 9:spade: 9:club: 6:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    40.76%  37.95%   2.80% { 33+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J3s+, T5s+, 95s+, 86s+, 75s+, 65s, A2o+, K4o+, Q6o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o, 87o }
      UTG+1  59.24%  56.44%   2.80% { AdQd }

      so we are even ahead. :) And he could even have a wider range, I did mainly put 54% into his range but it might be even wider as he seems to be just spewing away money.

      But otherwise just fold the turn, seems like a trap which did hit. You wont be able to Call the river.

      Best Regards.
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Veriz,

      Don't you think we are getting good odds to chase an A on the river? Than lead out for like half pot or maybe some more?
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Farmarchist
      Veriz,

      Don't you think we are getting good odds to chase an A on the river? Than lead out for like half pot or maybe some more?
      Not really cause you can't be sure if it's even a clear out. :) He could as well have AK there -> reversed implied odds.