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[NL20-NL50] NL25SH 3betpot AAvsdonkpush

    • martins1337
      Joined: 07.06.2009 Posts: 273
      villain is fish 66/9/2.3/32 VPip/pfr/af/hands
      this was ~10th hand with him

      UTG: $24.72
      CO: $25.00
      Hero (BTN): $25.00
      SB: $32.56
      BB: $29.58

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A:club: A:diamond:

      UTG raises to $0.75, fold, Hero raises to $2.25, fold, fold, UTG calls $1.50

      Flop: ($4.85, 2 players) 6:heart: 4:heart: 5:heart:
      UTG bets $22.47 and is all-in, Hero?

      his range maybe isn't that loose

      Board: 6:heart: 4:heart: 5:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP3    61.56%  58.68%   2.88% { AdAc }
      CO     38.44%  35.56%   2.88% { 99+, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, AhTh, AhKd, AhKs, AhKc, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, AhJd, AhJs, AhJc, AhTd, AhTs, AhTc }

      I think I need ~45% eq to call, so easy fold?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello martins1337,

      Preflop: 3bet it bigger cause you are giving good odds to set-mine vs you. ;)

      As played
      Postflop: I would never-ever exclude sets here nor 2pairs as he is super loose. Also most likely would even include some 2pair type of hands also into his range. As you say we need ~45% equity you didn't exclude the rake which would make it ~48%. For example vs something similar:

      Board: 6:heart: 4:heart: 5:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    52.89%  49.67%   3.22% { 99+, 66-44, 76s, 65s, KhQh, QhTh, JhTh, Qh9h, Jh9h, Th9h, Th8h, 9h8h, 8h7h, 65o, AhKd, AhKs, AhKc, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, Ah6d, Ah6s, Ah6c }
      UTG+1  47.11%  43.89%   3.22% { AdAc }

      I excluded all kind of A:hX hands cause I would assume he isn't shipping with them but rather slowplaying our equity actually isn't that good. :) But now again we are against a loose opponent I guess for that given reason while he has a super wide range you can even Call down while he could have a lot of A:hXx hands in his range.

      But as you may realize it ain't going to be huge +++EV call here. :P

      Best Regards.