[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 KK vs river donkpush

    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Gold
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,317
      $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -

      Hero (CO): $50.00
      BTN: $30.96
      SB: $55.72
      BB: $57.51
      UTG: $62.22
      MP: $53.78

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is CO with K :diamond: K :spade:
      UTG raises to $1.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $4.50, 3 folds, UTG calls $3

      Flop: ($9.75) J :diamond: J :heart: T :heart: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $5.50, UTG calls $5.50

      Turn: ($20.75) T :club: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $10.00, UTG calls $10

      River: ($40.75) T :diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $42.22, Hero ??? (30$ to call)


      UTG



      I think it's quite a nice, interesting spot, although I felt something different when I faced it at the table... :D

      I need 30% to make the call, and even if we are pessimistic, I still have it:

      Asztal: J:diamond: J:heart: T:heart:  T:club:  T:diamond:
             Részesedés   Nyert  Osztozás
      MP2        61.76%  58.82%     2.94% { JJ+, QJs, JTs }
      CO         38.24%  35.29%     2.94% { KdKs }


      If we take out AA/KK and QJs/JTs given the preflop action and his high fold to 3bet stat, his range is down to QQ and one combos of JJ quads...

      Asztal: J:diamond: J:heart: T:heart:  T:club:  T:diamond:
             Részesedés   Nyert  Osztozás
      MP2        14.29%  14.29%     0.00% { QQ-JJ }
      CO         85.71%  85.71%     0.00% { KdKs }
  • 2 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello pcfmcc02,

      Preflop: I'd 3bet it a bit bigger and not give him good odds to set-mine, unless you have a really loose 3betting range.
      Postflop: The problem is that the guy will rarely have bluffs there and I doubt that he is going to Call the turn very loose either and never has worse PPs. Obviously wouldn't make sense him to bluff either with Ace high here, therefore it's rather a fold while I assume his range contains enough of those Jx hands. If you put into his range JTs/QJs then why not KJs/AJs?

      Best Regards.
    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Gold
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,317
      Originally posted by veriz
      If you put into his range JTs/QJs then why not KJs/AJs?
      Cause I'm often making the mistake of projecting my ideas/ranges to opponents, and I would be more likely calling a 3bet with JTs than with AJs... :) But of course KJs/AJs could be easily in his range as well.

      And yes, even donkpushing QQ here would be a bluff from him, which wouldnt make much sense from his point of view, so I should have been finding the fold button, but I called and he showed me quads with JJ... :D