[NL2-NL10] NL10 AQ squeeze shove 04/06

    • allen82082
      allen82082
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.06.2011 Posts: 1,682
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $4
      MP3:
      $18.1
      CO:
      $11.95

      0.05/0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.106 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A:spade: , Q:diamond:
      4 folds, MP3 raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.20, MP3 folds, CO raises to $4.50, Hero calls $2.80 (All-In), CO gets uncalled bet back.

      Flop: ($8.35) 7:spade: , 3:club: , 2:heart:
      Turn: ($8.35) T:heart:
      River: ($8.35) Q:heart: (2 players)


      Final Pot: $8.35

      2.8/8.35=33%
      FONT=courier new]
                 赢率       胜       和
      CO     67.37%  66.50%   0.87% { 99+, AKs, AKo }
      BB     32.63%  31.77%   0.87% { AsQd }
      [/FONT]


                 赢率       胜       和
      CO     75.58%  74.21%   1.37% { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
      BB     24.42%  23.05%   1.37% { AsQd }



      I can not make sure which is his range?
  • 4 replies
    • moharith
      moharith
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.12.2011 Posts: 509
      He 3-bets you and you need to take that into your calculation.

      In your equilator, you're already suggesting he has an 99+ / AKs hand, so your Equity will be 34% Even if he has 22+, AKs, AKo your way behind. I'd fold.
    • JohnDoe1313
      JohnDoe1313
      Platinum
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,078
      CO 4bets, doesn't he? First, he called in late position so he probably doesn't have QQ+, AK. You need 35,3% equity to call and I think any pocket could play like that. You have 45.32% against 22-JJ. Sometimes he can shove with Ax, broadway or random trash, so your equity increases. I'm down for call.
    • moharith
      moharith
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.12.2011 Posts: 509
      Yes you're right he 4-bets :) . Maybe i'm too much on the safe side ;)
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Originally posted by JohnDoe1313
      CO 4bets, doesn't he? First, he called in late position so he probably doesn't have QQ+, AK. You need 35,3% equity to call and I think any pocket could play like that. You have 45.32% against 22-JJ. Sometimes he can shove with Ax, broadway or random trash, so your equity increases. I'm down for call.

      CO backraises you, it's something people do in shorthanded games a bit more with 100bb stacks versus loose squeezers

      But here I am confident he does not have JJ+,AK so if you ignore that in the Hands Spectrum, your AQo becomes a very nutty hand dominating every unpaired hand. So you are either way ahead or flipping which is good because the pot odds dictate you need <45% equity, to be precise it is 2.8/(5.5+2.8) = 33.7%

      - Gerv